Regional Climate Change Scenarios for the Carpathian Basin

نویسنده

  • J. Bartholy
چکیده

The IPCC TAR (2001) suggests that Southern and Central European countries may become highly vulnerable to global warming. In the frame of the Hungarian national climate change program, adaptation of regional models with fine horizontal resolution (10-25 km) is in progress. Since detailed simulations and evaluation of the final results are not available yet for the Carpathian Basin, results of the European project PRUDENCE are presented and discussed here (with 50 km resolution) for 2071-2100. In the second part of the paper, preliminary results of the climate model adaptation using HadCM3/PRECIS (developed at the Hadley Climate Centre of the UK Met Office) are evaluated. Testing runs for the Central/Eastern European region are validated at the Department of Meteorology, Eötvös Loránd University.

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تاریخ انتشار 2006